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Jonathan T. Overpeck

jonathan overpeck
Samuel A. Graham Dean; William B. Stapp Collegiate Professor of Environmental Education; Professor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering; Professor, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Ecosystem Science and Management
Climate + Energy
seas-dean@umich.edu
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Dana 2046
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About

Professor Overpeck is an interdisciplinary climate scientist and the Samuel A. Graham Dean of the School for Environment and Sustainability at the University of Michigan.

Overpeck has written over 220 published works on climate and the environmental sciences, served as a Working Group 1 Coordinating Lead Author for the Nobel Prize winning IPCC 4th Assessment (2007), and also as a Working Group 2 Lead Author for the IPCC 5th Assessment (2014). Other awards include the US Dept. of Commerce Gold and Bronze Medals, a Guggenheim Fellowship, the Walter Orr Roberts award of the American Meteorological Society, and the Quivira Coalition’s Radical Center Award for his work with rural ranchers and land managers.

He has led active climate research programs on five continents. His research is focused on understanding drought and megadrought dynamics (and risk) the world over, and has also served as the lead investigator of Climate Assessment for the Southwest and the SW Climate Science Center – two major programs focused on regional climate adaptation. Overpeck also works more broadly on climate and paleoclimate dynamics, ice sheets and sea level, climate-vegetation interaction, conservation biology, legal issues related to climate change, environmental communication and environmental education. He has appeared and testified before Congress multiple times, is a Fellow of AGU and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and tweets about climate-related issues @GreatLakesPeck .

Publications

Overpeck, J.T. and Bonar, S.A. (2020). Southwestern fish and aquatic systems: the climate challenge. In: Standing between Life and Extinction: Ethics and Ecology of Conserving Aquatic Species in the American Southwest (D.L. Propst, J. E. Williams, K.R. Bestgen, and C.W. Hoagstrom, eds.) University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL pp. 137-152.

Loope, G., D. Thompson, J. Cole and  J.Overpeck, (2020). Is there a low-frequency bias in multiproxy reconstructions of tropical pacific SST variability? Quaternary Science Reviews 246, 106530

Loope, G. D. Thompson, and J. Overpeck, J. (2020). The spectrum of Asian Monsoon variability: A proxy system model approach to the hydroclimate scaling mismatch. Quaternary Science Reviews 240, 106362.

Overpeck, J.T. and B. Udall(2020). Climate change and the aridification of North America.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117 (22), 11856-11858.169.

Pendergrass, A.G., G.A. Meehl, R. Pulwarty, M. Hobbins, M. Hoell, A. AghaKouchak, C.J.W. Bonfils, A.J.E. Gallant, M. Hoerling, D. Hoffmann, L. Kaatz, F. Lehner, D. Llewellyn, P. Mote, R.B. Neale, J.T. Overpeck, A. Sheffield, K. Stahl, M. Svoboda, M.C. Wheeler, A.W. Wood, C.A. Woodhouse, C.A. (2020). Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Nature Climate Change 10 (3), 191-199.

Routson, C.C., S.H.Arcusa, N.P. McKay and J.T. Overpeck. (2019). A 4,500‐Year‐Long Record of Southern Rocky Mountain Dust Deposition. Geophys. Res. Lett. 46: 8281-8288. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083255

Barr, C., J. Tibby, M.J. Leng, J. J. Tyler, A.C.G. Henderson, J.T. Overpeck, G.L. Simpson, J.E. Cole, S.J. Phipps, J.C. Marshall, G.B. McGregor, Q. Hua, and F.H. McRobie (2019). Holocene El Niño–Southern Oscillation variability reflected in subtropical Australian precipitation. Scientific Reports 9:1627-1636 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38626-3

Cook, B.R. and J.T.Overpeck (2018). Relationship-building between climate scientists and publics as an alternative to information transfer. WIREs Climate Change 2018;e570, https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.570

Garner, A.J., J.L. Weiss, A. Parris, R.E. Kopp, R.M. Horton, J.T. Overpeck, and B.P. Horton (2018) Evolution of 21st Century Sea-level Rise Projections. Earth’s Future 6: 1603–1615. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000991

Overpeck, J.T. and S.A. Bonar (2018). Southwestern fish and aquatic systems: the climate challenge. In: Standing between life and extinction: ethics and ecology of conserving aquatic species in the American Southwest (D.L. Propst, J. E. Williams, K.R. Bestgen, and C.W. Hoagstrom, eds.) University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL (Invited, in press).

Nolan, C., J.T. Overpeck, and 33 others (2018). Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change. Science (in press).

Yin, J, J.T. Overpeck, C. Peyser and R. Stouffer. (2018). Big Jump of Record Warm Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2014-2016 Related to Unusually Large Oceanic Heat Releases. Geophys. Res. Lett 10.1002/2017GL076500.

Stevenson, S., J.T. Overpeck, J. Fasullo, S. Coats, L. Parsons, T. Ault, B. Otto-Bliesner, G. Loope and J. Cole (2018). Climate Variability, Volcanic Forcing, and Last Millennium Hydroclimate Extremes. Journal of Climate 31: 4309-4327.

Parsons, L.A. S. Coats and J. T. Overpeck (2018. The continuum of drought in Southwestern North America. Journal of Climate (in press).

Parsons, L.A. S. LeRoy, J. T. Overpeck, M. Bush, G. M. Cárdenes-Sandí, and Scott Saleska (2018). The Threat of Multi-Year Drought in Amazonia. Water Resources Research (in press).

Garfin G., D. A. Falk, C. D. O’Connor, K. Jacobs, R. D. Sagarin, A. C. Haverland, A. Haworth, A. Baglee, J. Weiss, J. Overpeck, A. A. Zuñiga-Terán. (2018). A new mission: climate adaptation challenges and opportunities in the Department of Defense. Frontiers in Ecology and Environment (in press).

Parsons, L.A., G R. Loope, J. T. Overpeck, T. R. Ault, R, Stouffer and J. E. Cole (2017). Temperature and precipitation variance in CMIP5 simulations and paleoclimate records of the last millennium. Journal of Climate 30: 8885-8912.

Routson, C.C, T. M. Shanahan, J. T. Overpeck, and C. A. Woodhouse. (2017). The megadrought environment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (in revision).

Dee, S.G., L.A. Parsons, G. Loope, T.R. Ault, J. Emile-Geay, and J.T. Overpeck. (2017). Improved spectral comparisons of paleoclimate models and observations via proxy system modeling: implications for multi-decadal variability. Earth and Planetary Science Letters: 476: 34-46.

Conroy, J.L, A.F. Collins, J.T. Overpeck, M.B. Bush, J.E. Cole, and D.J. Anderson (2015). A 400-year isotopic record of seabird response to eastern tropical Pacific productivity. Geo Geography and Environment 2, 137–147 doi: 10.1002/geo2.11

LaKind, J., J. Overpeck and 13 others. (2016). Exposure science in an age of rapidly changing climate: Challenges and opportunities. Journal of Exposure Science and Environmental Epidemiology advance online publication 3 August 2016; doi: 10.1038/jes.2016.35

Routson, C.C., C.A. Woodhouse, J.T. Overpeck, J.L. Betancourt, N.P. McKay. (2016). Teleconnected Ocean Forcing of Western North American Droughts and Pluvials During the Last Millennium. Quaternary Science Reviews 146: 238-250.

Conroy, J.L., A.M. Hudson, J.T. Overpeck, K-b Liu, L. Wang and J.E. Cole. (2017). The primacy of multidecadal to centennial variability over late-Holocene forced change of the Asian Monsoon on the southern Tibetan Plateau. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 458: 337-348.

Routson CC, Overpeck JT, Woodhouse CA, Kenney WF (2016) Three Millennia of Southwestern North American Dustiness and Future Implications. PLoS ONE 11(2): e0149573. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0149573.

Udall, B. and J. Overpeck (2017). The 21st Century Colorado River hot drought and implications for the future. Water Resources Research 10.1002/2016WR019638

Bush, M.B., Y.A. Correa-Metrio, C.H. McMichael, S. Sully, C.R. Shadik, T. Guilderson, M. Steinitz-Kannan, and J.T. Overpeck (2016). A 6900-year history of landscape modification by humans in lowland Amazonia. Quaternary Science Reviews 141: 52-64.

Research

2017-2020 – NSF “The flavors of Southwest Hydroclimatic Extemes” $559,474 (PI with 3 others)
2013-2018 – NOAA/USAID “Integrating Climate Information and Decision Processes for Regional Resilience” $3,173,026 Senior personnel with several others – this is a new partnership with the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia – focused on international climate adaptation)
2014-2018 – NSF “Collaborative Research: Understanding the Full Range of Amazon Drought and Impacts.” 4 years - $331,900 (PI with one other)
2013-2018 – NSF “EaSM 2 Collaborative Research on Quantifying and Conveying the Risk of Prolonged Drought in Coming Decades.”5 years - $1,362,189 (PI with 3 others).

Education

PHD in Geological Sciences, Brown University, Rhode Island
MSc in Geological Sciences, Brown University
BA in Geology (Honors), Hamilton College, New York

Affiliations

2014-2020 – Member, U.S. National Research Council, U.S. National Academy of Science, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate

2014-present – Founding Member, Colorado River Research Group (CRRG), an independent, scientific voice for the future of the Colorado River (http://www.coloradoriverresearchgroup.org)

2012-2020 – Member, U.S. National Research Council, U.S. National Academy of Science, Board on Environmental Change and Society

2011-present – Science Advisor, Climate Communication (climatecommunication.org)

In the News
Climate crisis: 4 reasons for hope in 2023
January 5, 2023

Climate crisis: 4 reasons for hope in 2023

This article first appeared in The Hill and is reposted with permission. As we enter another year of a climate crisis, there is reason for both worry and hope. Looking...

Climate change blizzard with snow on highway
December 31, 2022

Looking back on 2022 and the paradoxes of a climate crisis

This article first appeared in The Hill and is reposted with permission. The year 2022 was a tough year around the world in terms of climate disaster, something that the...

COP27 climate conference in Egypt: U-M experts available to discuss
November 18, 2022

COP27 climate conference in Egypt: U-M experts available to discuss

EXPERTS ADVISORY Global climate talks in Egypt are heading into the home stretch with many issues still unresolved. Negotiators from nearly 200 countries have gathered in...

Jonathan Overpeck in Iceland

Dean’s Letter

Dear Friends: Last August, my partner, Julie, and I took our kids on a family vacation to Iceland. With our daughter in high school and our son at U-M, we learned that we...

Hurricane Ian: U-M experts can discuss
September 29, 2022

Hurricane Ian: U-M experts can discuss

EXPERTS ADVISORY As Hurricane Ian slams southwest Florida with a catastrophic storm surge, University of Michigan experts are available to comment on the impact of the...

Climate change plus a third straight La Niña is not a good thing
September 21, 2022

Climate change plus a third straight La Niña is not a good thing

This article first appeared in The Hill and is reposted with permission. There’s a saying that climate is what you expect, and the weather is what you get. In an era of...

The West’s water crisis is worse than you think
September 15, 2022

The West’s water crisis is worse than you think

This article first appeared in The Hill and is reposted with permission. A couple of years back I moved from Arizona to Michigan, in part because I’m worried about the...

GL climate change
July 21, 2022

Saving our pleasant peninsula: How Michigan’s long-admired natural resources are being threatened by climate change and what U-M researchers are doing to help

This story was originally published on the Leaders & Best Impact site From the Great Lakes to its inland rivers and streams, hiking trails to golf courses, and lakeside...

In the Media
01/12/2023
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Study: Exxon Mobil accurately predicted warming since 1970s (Associated Press)
11/28/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Rising sea levels could swamp the US coastline by 2050, NASA predicts (Live Science)
11/23/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
AS COP27 falls short, U.S. policies position Michigan to meet healthy climate goals, expert says (Michigan Advance)
11/11/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Republicans tout benefits of fossil fuels at climate talks (ABC News)
09/20/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Fuel firms should pay for climate harm, UN leaders told (Associated Press)
09/16/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Warming, other factors worsened Pakistan floods, study finds (ABC News)
09/09/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
California: Drought, record heat, fires and now maybe floods (ABC News)
08/01/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Chances of climate catastrophe are ignored, scientists say (Associated Press)
07/31/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Kentucky grapples with effect of climate crisis as floods leave trail of devastation (The Guardian)
07/26/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Energy & Environment — Summer scorcher (The Hill)
07/20/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Small steps you can take to limit your emissions, help limit global warming (FOX 2 Detroit)
06/30/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Extreme heat, drought will permanently scar California and its social fabric (The Los Angeles Times)
05/27/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Michiganders should take tornadoes more seriously after Gaylord, experts say (The Detroit Free Press)
05/18/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
UN floats plan to boost renewables as climate worries mount (Associated Press)
05/06/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Carbon dioxide has a minimal impact on tropical vegetation (earth.com)
04/22/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
AP PHOTOS: As world marks Earth Day, trash still big problem (Associated Press)
04/02/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
'A year after year disaster:' The American West could face a 'brutal' century under climate change (USA Today)
03/20/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Michigan climate plan set to reach governor’s desk by Earth Day (MLive)
03/07/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Sense of urgency grows for the Great Lakes region and other parts of the world on climate change (The Toledo Blade)
03/02/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Putin’s war in Ukraine is being fueled by the world’s addiction to oil (Fortune)
03/02/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
'Milestone moment' reached in Line 5 tunnel permitting case (The Petoskey News-Review)
02/21/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Line 5's impact on climate change being reviewed as part of tunnel decision (WCMU)
02/18/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Line 5's impact on climate change being reviewed as part of tunnel decision (Michigan Radio)
02/15/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
The intense dry spell in the West is worst 'megadrought' in 1,200 years, new study says (USA Today)
02/14/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
New study finds Western U.S. megadrought is the worst in 1,200 years (The Week)
02/14/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
West megadrought worsens to driest in at least 1,200 years (Associated Press)
02/07/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Report: Corporate climate pledges are weaker than they seem (ABC News)
01/14/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Last Year’s Overall Climate Was Shaped by Warming-Driven Heat Extremes Around the Globe (Inside Climate News)
01/10/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
2021 was a deadly year for weather: 20 disasters killed more than 600 Americans (USA Today)
01/02/2022
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Climate change, new construction mean more ruinous fires (The Washington Post)
12/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
The U.S. set a new record for powerful wind gusts, with 55 in one day (NPR)
12/15/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
The Midwest Tornadoes, Climate Change, And The Future Of Extreme Weather (NPR)
11/14/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
‘Watered-down hope’: Experts wanted more from climate pact (Associated Press)
11/10/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
University of Michigan aims to find solutions to climate change, Detroit flooding (Fox 2 Detroit)
11/10/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Sustainability Clinic in Detroit to help combat impacts of climate change (The University Record)
11/10/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
U-M Sustainability Clinic in Detroit to combat flooding, other climate change effects (Detroit Free Press)
10/11/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Gift Helps U-Michigan Put Emphasis on Environmental Justice (U.S. News & World Report)
10/11/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Gift helps U-Michigan put emphasis on environmental justice (Associated Press)
10/11/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
$11.1 Million Gift Helps University Of Michigan Put Emphasis On Environmental Justice (CBS Detroit)
09/20/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
UN to world leaders: To curtail warming, you must do more (ABC News)
09/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Line 5 tunnel would worsen climate change impacts, opponents testify (MLive)
09/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
UN chief urges 'rapid' emission cuts to curb climate change (ABC News)
09/01/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
How sea-level rise is making hurricanes like Ida more destructive (Grist)
08/31/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Scientists detail role of climate change in Ida's intensity (The Hill)
08/24/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
High in the Colorado Rockies, scientists launch search for causes of western water woes (Science)
08/06/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
What role does climate change play in the West’s tinderbox conditions? Let us explain. (The New York Times)
08/04/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
'When will the megadrought end?' is the wrong question to ask (Mashable)
07/31/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Space photos show intense drying of California mountains (Mashable)
07/28/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Draw a line from Montana to Georgia. That’s where you’ll find extreme heat. (The New York Times)
07/20/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Floods in metro Detroit bear hallmarks of human-caused climate change, scientists say (Detroit Free Press)
07/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Flooding causing even more problems for Michiganders (WLNS)
07/13/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
These Scientists Linked June's Heat Wave to Climate Change in 9 Days. Their Work Could Revolutionize How We Talk About Climate (Time)
07/12/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Climate change is playing a role in the heat, drought and fires (The New York Times)
07/01/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
A Deadly Summer in the Pacific Northwest Augurs More Heat Waves, and More Deaths to Come (Inside Climate News)
06/29/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Detroit Is Not Built to Handle Climate Change (WDET 101.9)
06/23/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
A Shift on Climate for Some G.O.P. Leaders (The New York Times)
06/17/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Climate Change Batters the West Before Summer Even Begins (The New York Times)
06/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Forest Management Entails More Than Planting Trees (Nature World News)
05/29/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Mud cylinders reveal humans' impact on Earth began earlier than we thought (BBC News)
05/24/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
We can’t plant our way out of the climate crisis (Fast Company)
05/21/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
We can’t “plant our way” out of the climate crisis, researchers argue (ZME Science)
05/21/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Human Activity May Have Altered the Earth Much Earlier Than We Thought (Inverse)
05/20/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Humans have ‘stressed out’ Earth far longer, and more dramatically, than realized (National Geographic)
04/22/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Why The Intense U.S. Drought Is Now A Megadrought (Mashable)
03/23/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Because Hamiltonians Fight Climate Change: J. Overpeck ’79 (Hamilton College News)
03/18/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Greg Keoleian
University of Michigan’s carbon neutrality commission releases 'bold, visionary plan' (WDIV Click on Detroit)
02/17/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
3 biggest things Michigan can do to battle climate change (WDIV Click on Detroit)
02/16/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Four sustainability experts on how they’d spend Elon Musk’s $100 million climate commitment (Popular Science)
02/07/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
More than 140 missing after flash flood in northern India (NBC Nightly News)
02/03/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
What Michigan’s future could look like without action on climate change (WDIV Click on Detroit)
01/25/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
2 biggest impacts of climate change in Michigan right now (WDIV Click on Detroit)
01/13/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Drought-stricken Colorado River Basin could see additional 20% drop in water flow by 2050 (Yale Climate Connections)
01/12/2021
Jonathan T. Overpeck
How Climate Change is Driving Wildfire Trends (Climatrends)
09/22/2020
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Climate Disruption Is Now Locked In. The Next Moves Will Be Crucial (The New York Times)
09/09/2020
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Think 2020's disasters are wild? Experts see worse in future (Associated Press)
06/24/2020
Jonathan T. Overpeck
The Arctic is on fire: Siberian heat wave alarms scientists (The Washington Post)
09/01/2019
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Dean Overpeck for the AP: Fact-checking politicians on climate change
03/01/2019
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Dr. Jonathan Overpeck on ways to help solve climate change and how local students taking part in citizen science can make a difference
12/01/2018
Jonathan T. Overpeck
The Southwest Might Be in One of the Worst Mega-Droughts in History, Experts Say
11/01/2018
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Scientists: Wind, drought worsen fires, not bad management
09/01/2018
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Major transformation' ahead for Earth's ecosystems: study
06/01/2018
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Minnesota's renewable energy revolution
Jonathan T. Overpeck
America’s longest river was recently drier than during the Dust Bowl. And it’s bound to happen again
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